2026-10-13

2023-01-012026-10-13

1,382 trading days, one plot each. A winning day raises a building as tall as its return; flat days stay empty, losing days sink below ground.

Hover to read / Click to zoom / Drag to rotate / R to reset

Tap to zoom / Drag to rotate

Discrete Alpha Program

Extracting real, repeatable edge from the market

A long/short Bitcoin strategy built on statistical edge in order flow.

Annualized return
+493%
Max drawdown
−23%

Bitcoin, same period: −54%

Positive months
39 / 46
Value of $10,000 invested Jan 2023
$8,402,756
2x leverage, as of 2026-10-13 UTCUTC 00:00:00Scroll ↓

01 / Discrete Alpha

8,760 hours in a year.Only a handful are entries.

Discrete
We act only at the moments an edge appears.
Alpha
Every entry carries a positive expected value.

No entryEntry

Hover to read / Click to scanTap to scan

Each cell is one hour, left to right and top to bottom, for a full year.

02 / Strategy

From over a hundred data streams to a single position

  1. xi(t), i = 1, …, N

    Over a hundred raw data streams enter the system in parallel.

  2. h(ℓ+1) = 𝒯ℓ(h(ℓ), h(<ℓ))

    Each layer performs one computation; with each layer the data gets smaller and the information denser.

  3. Layer by layer, the results aggregate into decision data, which then converge to a single point.

  4. Sj = Φj(yt)

    Decision data generates the signal, expressed as ten input dimensions.

  5. (S1, …, S9, r) ↦ q

    Ten dimensions plus the position make an 11-dimensional space. The market is first classified into one of several regimes, each with its own parameter set; within a regime, the position is set jointly by signal strength, the adaptive dimension and multiple constraints.

    Dimensions used by each regime

    IIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIX
    Regime I●●○■■
    Regime II○●●■
    Regime III■■■

    ● Signal strength○ Adaptive■ Conditions and constraints

  6. bk = βk(S; rt)

    Grouped by regime, the ten dimensions feed five positioning rules, then pass through separate long and short constraints.

  7. q = π(b; Θ)

    Through the 11-dimensional algorithm and regime switching, one decision remains: how large the position should be.

Scroll / Hover to trace a pathDrag to rotate / R to reset / Hover to trace a path

03 / Performance

Stepped NAV

NAV stays flat most of the time and steps up only when an edge appears. One dataset, three views.

2026-10-13

2023-01-012026-10-13

2x leverage, $10,000 invested January 2023, as of 2026-10-13 UTC. The gray line is $10,000 held in Bitcoin.

04 / Team

Research team

Our team studied at UC Berkeley, Imperial College London, UC Irvine and Stanford, primarily in computer science, with backgrounds in physics, mathematics, statistics and artificial intelligence.

  1. 01University of California, BerkeleyUC Berkeley
  2. 02Imperial College LondonImperial
  3. 03University of California, IrvineUC Irvine
  4. 04Stanford UniversityStanford